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Tamworth come into this one on the back of three wins in their last five league games, but the pattern at home is more relevant for an over bet: their home record has produced 28 goals for and 22 against in 20 matches, which points to games that regularly open up. Solihull Moors have also been involved in plenty of traffic away from home, with 23 scored and 28 conceded on their travels, so both sides bring enough attacking output to keep the goal count moving.
The recent scorelines add to that case. Tamworth have seen four of their last six league matches finish with at least three goals, while Solihull Moors have had three of their last six go beyond 2.5. Even the quieter results do not fully kill the angle, because both teams have shown they can score in short bursts and both have conceded heavily at times, including Tamworth’s 3-2 defeats and Solihull’s 5-1 loss at Wealdstone.
There is also a strong head-to-head lean toward goals. Solihull Moors won 7-1 in the meeting at the end of December 2025, and the fixture has seen both teams score in six of the last eight league meetings. That history does not guarantee a repeat of the same scale, but it does suggest these sides are more comfortable producing chances against each other than shutting the game down.
The xG outlook sits in the same range, with Tamworth projected at 1.7 and Solihull Moors at 1.4. That is a healthy total and lines up with the season averages, where home matches have averaged 1.54 goals for the hosts and away games 1.28 for visitors. The main caution is that both teams’ most recent matches ended 1-0, so the line needs them to be a bit more expansive than they were on 28 March.
My prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at 62/100. Tamworth’s home matches have been worth 50 goals across 20 games, Solihull Moors have conceded 28 away, and the head-to-head has landed both teams to score in six of the last eight league meetings. The xG projection of 1.7 to 1.4 also points to a total above two goals, even if the most recent results for both clubs were tighter than this line would prefer.
