Prediction (no JavaScript):

1.FC Phönix Lübeck arrive with the stronger home profile for this matchup, collecting 20 points from their home games and losing only four of 12 there. Kickers Emden’s away record is more modest, with just three wins on the road, and that away split matters because a home win depends on the hosts doing enough to turn a tight game their way.

The recent league form also leans toward the home side avoiding another setback. Phönix Lübeck are without a win in five and have taken only one point from their last two matches, but they did at least come back to draw 1-1 at Eintracht Norderstedt on 1 April. Emden, by contrast, were beaten 4-0 at Bremer SV on 2 April, a result that dents their away momentum after a mixed run of wins, draws and losses.

Goals should not be far away either, which supports Phönix Lübeck’s chances of edging it at home. Emden have scored 43 and conceded 42 in the league, while their away record is 17 scored and 20 conceded, so they are usually involved in open games on the road. The head-to-head also points in the same direction: Phönix Lübeck have avoided defeat in three straight meetings, and four of the last five have gone over 2.5 goals.

There is a little tension with Phönix Lübeck’s own recent defensive record, since they have gone five league matches without a clean sheet. Even so, their home results are stronger than Emden’s away numbers, and Emden have gone six away games without keeping a clean sheet themselves. That combination still leaves the hosts with the better route to taking all three points, even if they may need to score at least twice to do it.

My prediction is Home Win at 11/10. Phönix Lübeck have the better home record, Emden’s away form is only three wins from 12, and the visitors have just been beaten 4-0 on the road. Phönix Lübeck are also unbeaten in the last three head-to-head meetings, which gives the home win a solid edge despite both sides carrying some defensive risk.