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Friday night in the Trendyol Süper Lig brings together two sides with very different moods. Antalyaspor host Konyaspor knowing the pressure is squarely on the home side. Antalyaspor sit 14th on 28 points from 29 matches, only a few good weekends from calm but still far too close to trouble for comfort. Konyaspor, in 10th with 34 points, aren’t chasing Europe on the numbers we have here, but they do have the chance to push into the top half and finish the season with real momentum. That matters. So does the feel of the run-in.
For Antalyaspor, this is about stopping the slide before it turns ugly. Seven wins in 29 league games tells its own story, and 47 goals conceded is the second number that jumps off the page. Konyaspor arrive with a sturdier recent profile and a manager, İlhan Palut, whose team looks harder to beat right now than Sami Uğurlu’s. Form isn’t everything in April. Still, it tends to expose the truth. And at the moment the truth is that Konyaspor look the more settled side.
Antalyaspor’s last few weeks have been messy, then briefly encouraging, then messy again. They were well beaten 4-2 by Beşiktaş last time out, and the score actually flatters them a touch. Beşiktaş generated far more danger, posting 21 shots to Antalyaspor’s 11, hitting the target 12 times, and creating seven big chances. Antalyaspor did at least carry a threat of their own — Sander van de Streek and Samuel Ballet got them on the scoresheet — but defensively they were opened up far too easily. That’s been a recurring problem.
The week before, they hammered Eyüpspor 3-0 at home and looked like a different team. That was the result supporters wanted after a bleak spell. Before that came a 0-0 away at Başakşehir, which was disciplined enough, but either side of it were two damaging defeats on home soil and away from it: 4-1 against Gaziantep FK in Antalya and 1-0 at Çaykur Rizespor. Throw in the 2-0 cup loss to Samsunspor on 5 March and you get the shape of it — one bright result, one solid point, too many losses. Four defeats in their last six in all competitions isn’t a blip. It’s a warning.
Home form gives them little cover. Antalyaspor have won only four of 14 league matches at their own ground, drawing three and losing seven. They’ve scored 21 and conceded 31 there, which is a poor split for any team trying to lean on home advantage. That defensive return is the killer. More than two goals conceded per home game on average is the sort of number that drags you into the bottom end and keeps you there. You can cope with inconsistency up front if the back line is reliable. Antalyaspor aren’t getting that bargain.
There is still some attacking life in them, mind you. They scored twice at Beşiktaş and put three past Eyüpspor, so this isn’t a side that has stopped creating entirely. The issue is balance. In Istanbul last Friday they posted just 0.82 xG while allowing 3.35 xGA. That gap is brutal. When the opposition are repeatedly getting into better areas and producing clearer chances, you’re asking for trouble. Against a Konyaspor side that tends to strike first and is playing with confidence, Antalyaspor could easily find themselves chasing the game again. That won’t suit them.
Konyaspor are not flying in the glamorous sense, but they’re doing the serious stuff well. They’re unbeaten in six matches and there’s a steadiness to that run which should travel. Last weekend’s 3-0 home win over Fatih Karagümrük was their cleanest recent statement. Blaž Kramer struck first, Jackson Muleka added another before the break, and Diogo Gonçalves wrapped it up in stoppage time. It wasn’t one of those matches where they battered the opposition for 90 minutes — Karagümrük still posted chances of their own — but Konyaspor were sharper in both boxes. That’s usually enough.
Go back a little further and the story holds. They drew 2-2 at Samsunspor on 5 April, won 1-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği, beat Kocaelispor 2-1 away, and drew 1-1 with Kasımpaşa. There was also a 1-0 cup win away at Eyüpspor. So while the results haven’t all been spectacular, the pattern is healthy: they’re avoiding defeat, finding goals often enough, and not letting games spin away from them. Six matches without a loss says plenty. So does the fact they’ve scored first in five of their last six.
Away form is far from elite, but it’s workable. Konyaspor have taken 13 points from 14 league trips, winning three, drawing four and losing seven, with 17 goals scored and 26 conceded. Those numbers don’t scream domination. They do suggest vulnerability. Still, they aren’t facing a strong home side here, and context matters. A side with a merely decent away record can look very appealing when the hosts have already lost half of their home league fixtures. That’s the case on Friday.
The bigger point is this: Konyaspor look more coherent. They’re not giving off the same frantic, breakable feel as Antalyaspor. Even in the 2-2 draw at Samsunspor they stayed in the contest and took something from it. Even in tighter games, they’ve found a route through. The projected xG for this match leans their way too, with Konyaspor at 1.32 compared with Antalyaspor’s 0.82. That isn’t a landslide. It doesn’t need to be. If Konyaspor get their noses in front, they’re facing a defence that has struggled all season to restore order.
There’s a clear pattern in the recent meetings: these fixtures are usually tight. Konyaspor won 1-0 in the Türkiye Kupası on 23 December 2025, and the league meeting a month earlier ended 0-0. Antalyaspor did win the last league game in Antalya, 1-0 in May 2025, but before that the sequence was dominated by draws — five straight 1-1 scorelines across 2022, 2023 and 2024, plus another 1-1 in January 2024.
If you want one head-to-head angle, this is it: the last eight meetings have all produced fewer than 2.5 goals. That does sit a little awkwardly against an away-win pick in a game where Antalyaspor’s defence can unravel, but it also underlines how fine the margins often are in this matchup. Konyaspor don’t need a thriller. A controlled away performance could be enough.
Konyaspor to win at 2.35 stands out here. The away record on its own isn’t dazzling, but Antalyaspor’s home numbers are weak enough to tilt the balance, and current form pushes it further in the same direction. Konyaspor are unbeaten in six, they’ve scored first in five of those matches, and they’re facing a side that has lost four of its last six in all competitions and just shipped four to Beşiktaş while allowing a flood of chances.
The expected-goals projection also leans the visitors’ way, 1.32 to 0.82, which fits the eye test from recent performances. Antalyaspor can score, sure, but they give too much away and don’t control matches well enough. Konyaspor look more stable, more clinical, and frankly more trustworthy. The call is a 2-1 away win, with Antalyaspor likely to have a moment or two at home but not enough to hide their defensive flaws. If you wanted a side angle, Konyaspor to score first has appeal as well given how often they’ve made the first punch lately.
