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Persik Kediri come into this fixture with a mixed but open pattern at home, where they have taken six wins, four draws and only two defeats, while scoring 22 and conceding 18. That home record is the key angle for a home win, because they are usually competitive enough to turn matches at their own ground and rarely get pushed aside there.
Persijap Jepara’s away numbers point the other way. They have managed just one away win all season, alongside three draws and eight defeats, with only nine goals scored on their travels and 25 conceded. Their last away outing ended 2-2 at PSIM Yogyakarta, but the broader away split still leaves them looking fragile when they leave home.
Recent form also leans Persik’s way. Marcos Reina’s side have won two of their last six league matches, and while they lost their most recent game 3-0 at Persib Bandung, that came away from home against stronger opposition than they will face here. Persijap are unbeaten in four, yet three of those were draws, including back-to-back goalless matches before the 2-2 at PSIM, so their run is steady rather than convincing.
The head-to-head adds another small edge for Persik, who beat Persijap 2-0 in Jepara in September 2025. That result fits the season-long split too: Persik have been far more reliable at home, while Persijap have spent most of the campaign struggling to turn away fixtures into points.
My prediction is Home Win at 1/1. Persik’s 6-4-2 home record is much stronger than Persijap’s 1-3-8 away mark, the visitors have only one away victory all season, and Persijap have drawn three of their last four league games. Persik’s recent results are not flawless, but their home base gives them the clearer route to three points.
