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Reggiana come into this one with only one win in their last six league matches, and that came on 28 February at Spezia. Since then they have gone five games without a victory, while Pescara have been harder to pin down but have at least taken points in three of their last six. For a double chance angle, that contrast matters more than any headline result: Reggiana are not arriving in strong form, but they have still avoided defeat in one of their last two and remain capable of making this awkward.
The home and away splits point in the same direction. Reggiana’s home record is four wins, six draws and five defeats, which is not dominant but does show they are difficult to beat at this level in Reggio Emilia. Pescara’s away record is much weaker, with only one away win all season and nine points collected from 16 trips, plus 36 goals conceded on the road. That kind of away profile leaves them exposed if the match turns tight.
There is also enough recent scoring context to keep the draw in play. Reggiana’s last home league game finished 0-0 against Monza, and their overall home goal return is modest at 16 scored and 19 conceded. Pescara have produced goals more freely than Reggiana overall, but they have also just been beaten 4-2 at Empoli after allowing 24 shots and 7 big chances, which is not the sort of away performance that inspires confidence against a side with a decent home draw rate.
The head-to-head is not a clean sweep either way, but Pescara have failed to keep a clean sheet in four straight meetings with Reggiana, which fits the idea that the visitors may struggle to turn their away weakness into a clear advantage. With the projected score sitting at 1-1, this is not a fixture where either side looks especially safe for a straight win, but it does still suit the home team’s chance of avoiding defeat.
My prediction is Double Chance 1X at 53/100. Reggiana have five matches without a win, but they are still stronger at home than Pescara are away, and the visitors have only one away victory all season. Pescara have also lost their last away match heavily at Empoli, while Reggiana’s home draw rate gives this enough cover for the home side to avoid defeat.
