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Stevenage come into this on the back of a tight run, with three of their last four league games finishing without both sides scoring. They have kept clean sheets in the 0-0 at Rotherham United and the 1-0 home win over Reading, while their home record of just 11 goals conceded in 19 league games points toward another controlled evening at the Lamex Stadium.
Blackpool’s recent results also lean toward a lower-scoring, one-sided type of game rather than a shootout. They have won three of their last four in the league without conceding in the wins over Exeter City and Burton Albion, and their away record is poor, with only three wins and 17 goals scored in 20 trips. That is a modest return for a side facing one of the better home defences in the division.
Stevenage’s overall home numbers strengthen the case further, since they have taken 39 points at home and allowed only 11 goals. Blackpool’s away record of 13 points from 20 matches, plus 35 conceded on the road, suggests they often struggle to contribute enough to force both teams onto the scoresheet. There is a small counterpoint in the recent head-to-heads, though, with the two sides having played out a 2-3 and a 1-3 in the last two meetings, so this is not a completely one-way BTTS profile.
Even so, the balance of evidence still favours one side keeping Blackpool out while doing enough themselves. Stevenage have already shown they can protect leads at home, Blackpool’s away attack has been weak across the season, and the most recent meetings now sit against a stronger home defensive record from Stevenage. That leaves the clean-sheet angle more convincing than the recent head-to-head noise.
My prediction is BTTS - No at 10/13. Stevenage have seen three of their last four league matches finish without both teams scoring, they have conceded only 11 goals at home all season, and Blackpool’s away record brings just 17 goals scored in 20 matches. Blackpool have also failed to score in several of their recent away trips, which fits the expectation of at least one side being shut out here.
