Wydad Casablanca arrive with the stronger overall profile for a clean-sheet angle, even if their recent results have not been spotless. They have gone three league games without a win, but their home record still reads four wins, one draw and one loss, with only three goals conceded in six home matches. Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi’s away numbers are modest too, at two wins, two draws and two losses, and they have scored only five away league goals.
The recent scoring patterns also lean toward at least one side being shut out. Wydad’s last six matches have produced only one clean sheet for them, but Difaâ’s away game at RS Berkane ended in a 2-1 defeat from just one shot on target and 0.36 xG, which underlines how limited they can be on the road. Difaâ have also been held to 0-0 twice in their last six league matches, a sign that their attack can disappear against organised opponents.
Head to head, Wydad have had the better of this fixture and have kept Difaâ out in recent meetings, winning 2-0 away in January 2025 and 4-1 at home in September 2024. That said, the 1-1 projected scoreline and Wydad’s own run of only one home clean sheet this season show why this is not a completely easy BTTS read. Even so, the balance of the matchup still points more toward Difaâ struggling to score than toward both teams finding the net.
The xG picture supports that idea as well. Wydad are projected at 1.5 xG to Difaâ’s 0.7, which leaves the visitors below a likely scoring threshold. League home and away benchmarks are also fairly low, with away sides averaging just 1.05 goals and 1.08 xG per match, so a visiting blank is well within the season pattern here.
My prediction is BTTS - No at 44/100. Wydad’s home defence has allowed only three goals in six league matches, Difaâ have scored just five times away all season, and their recent trip to RS Berkane produced only one shot on target and 0.36 xG. Wydad have also kept Difaâ out in two of the last three head-to-head meetings, which fits the no-goal-for-both angle.
