ZED FC come into this one with four matches unbeaten and a useful habit of controlling games at both ends of the pitch. Their last six league outings have brought three wins, two draws and only one defeat, and the recent home wins over Tala'ea El-Gaish and Modern Sport FC were both built on clean sheets. The latest of those finished 1-0, with xG at 0.9 and xGA at just 0.3, which fits a side that can keep opponents quiet when they get the lead.
Arab Contractors FC have been harder to trust on the road and are without a win in four league matches, with three draws in that sequence. Their most recent outing, a 2-2 draw with Petrojet, was open enough, but the away numbers are still modest and the team have only one win in their last six. Even in a higher-event game, they were not especially convincing on territory or chance quality, which leaves them vulnerable if ZED FC can impose the same kind of control they showed in late March.
The head-to-head also leans toward the home side avoiding defeat, and the recent meetings have been tight. ZED FC are unbeaten in the last three clashes with Arab Contractors FC, including a 0-0 league-cup draw and a 1-1 draw in the same competition in March. The earlier league meeting at this ground ended 2-0 to ZED FC, so the matchup has recently favoured the hosts when the game settles into a low-scoring pattern.
There is some tension around the projected 2-1 scoreline, because both teams have often been involved in tighter matches and ZED FC have a strong run of games finishing under 2.5 goals. Even so, Arab Contractors FC have failed to win in four, while ZED FC have not lost in four and have the cleaner recent defensive record at home. In a relegation-round fixture where margins matter, the home side’s steadier form and better chance suppression give them the edge.
My prediction is Home Win at 155/100. ZED FC have won three of their last six and are unbeaten in four, while Arab Contractors FC are without a win in four league matches. ZED FC have also kept clean sheets in two of their last three home games, and they beat Arab Contractors FC 2-0 in the league meeting at this venue in August 2025. With the visitors struggling to turn draws into wins, the home result is the stronger call.
