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LD Alajuelense come into this at home with a strong clean-sheet lean in the league, having kept three clean sheets in six and losing only once at their own ground, where they have conceded just five goals in six home matches. They have also scored first in all six of those recent league games, which matters here because an early lead can force Guadalupe FC into a more open chase.
Guadalupe’s away profile points the same way for BTTS No. They are winless in six on the road, with three draws and three losses, and have scored only three goals away from home in that spell. A total of 11 goals have been conceded in those six away trips, so their chances of finding enough attacking rhythm to contribute are limited.
Recent form adds more weight to a one-sided scoring pattern rather than a high-scoring exchange. Alajuelense have won three of their last six league matches and their latest home league win was a 3-0 against Municipal Pérez Zeledón, while Guadalupe’s most recent league outings include a 0-0 at home and a run that has produced only two goals in their last three matches. The projected 2-1 scoreline leaves a little tension against BTTS No, but the away side’s low output makes the scoreline feel more like a ceiling than a baseline.
The head-to-head record also fits a game where Alajuelense can control the scoring. They have beaten Guadalupe 3-1 in January 2026 and have gone three meetings without a loss in this fixture, while Guadalupe have failed to score in two of the last four H2Hs. That is enough to support the idea that Alajuelense can keep this tight at the back while still doing the damage at the other end.
My prediction is BTTS - No at 67/100. Alajuelense have kept three clean sheets in their last six league matches, Guadalupe have scored only three away goals in six league trips, and Guadalupe’s away record is still winless with three draws and three defeats. Alajuelense have also scored first in all six of their recent league games, which strengthens the chance that they can dictate the match without conceding.
