Celtic still have the stronger case for the result market despite their latest setback. They are third with 61 points from 31 league matches, while Dundee are eighth on 32 points, and the season records are separated by 19 wins for Celtic against only eight for Dundee. The away split also supports the visitors: Celtic have taken 27 points from 16 league trips, while Dundee’s overall level has been much lower across the campaign.
Dundee’s recent league form is respectable, with one defeat, two wins and three draws from their last six, so this is not a soft spot for an away side to visit. At home they have been fairly competitive as well, posting six wins, four draws and five defeats, which explains why the away-win price is not bigger than it is. Even so, Celtic’s xG projection of 1.7 against Dundee’s 0.4 points toward the visitors creating the clearer chances, and the 0-2 correct-score call lines up with the match-result pick rather than working against it.
The latest results for both sides came with defeats, but Celtic’s loss looks easier to forgive over this market. Dundee were beaten 1-0 by Hearts on 21 March and managed only 0.6 xG, one shot on target and no big chances, while they also ended with Frankie Kent sent off. Celtic lost 2-0 away to Dundee United on 22 March, yet they still posted 1.1 xG and created two big chances, which suggests a poor finishing day rather than a complete drop-off.
One extra angle in Celtic’s favour is that they have scored first in eight of the last 10 meetings between these sides. That matters for an away-win bet because Dundee have also conceded first in four of their last five, and chasing games against a side with Celtic’s stronger season record is a bad position to be in.
My prediction is Away Win at 1.46. Celtic have 19 league wins to Dundee’s eight, they own the better away record with 27 points from 16 road matches, the xG projection is tilted heavily their way at 1.7 to 0.4, and Dundee’s recent 1-0 loss at Hearts featured almost no attacking threat.
