AFC Ajax hosts Fortuna Sittard at Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam for a VriendenLoterij Eredivisie clash on February 14, 2026. Ajax sits fourth with 39 points from 22 matches, boasting 10 wins, nine draws, and three losses while scoring 42 goals against 29 conceded. Fortuna holds 11th place with 26 points from the same number of games, recording seven wins, five draws, and 10 losses with 33 goals for and 38 against. As favorites, Ajax aims to close the gap on leaders PSV Eindhoven, who lead by 20 points, while Fortuna seeks points to climb from mid-table security.
Ajax drew their last two league outings, 1-1 away at AZ Alkmaar on February 8 and 2-2 away at Excelsior on February 1. Under interim manager Fred Grim, they suffered a 2-1 home loss to Olympiacos in the UEFA Champions League on January 28 but secured a 2-0 home victory over FC Volendam in the league on January 24. They also claimed a 2-1 away win against Villarreal in the Champions League on January 20. Their last league triumph came against Volendam, ending a brief winless run in domestic play.
Fortuna Sittard tied 2-2 at home with Sparta Rotterdam on February 7, following a 2-1 away defeat to Heracles Almelo on February 1. Managed by Danny Buijs, they earned a 2-1 away success over FC Groningen on January 25 but fell 2-1 at home to PSV Eindhoven on January 17. They drew 2-2 away at Go Ahead Eagles on January 11. Their most recent victory occurred against Groningen, snapping a short streak without three points.
Ajax remains unbeaten against Fortuna in their last 14 encounters, claiming 12 wins and two draws. The teams met in December 2025, when Ajax won 3-1 away. Earlier in February 2025, Ajax triumphed 2-0 at home. In September 2024, Ajax dominated 5-0 away. Their previous draw happened in March 2024, finishing 2-2 at home.
My prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.53. Ajax averages 1.91 goals per game while Fortuna concedes 1.73 on average, setting up potential for high scoring. Fortuna nets 1.5 goals per outing but allows more away, where Ajax strikes 1.73 at home. Head-to-head matches average 3.93 goals in the last six, with four exceeding 2.5. The xG projection (2.37–1.04) supports a 2-1 finish.
