AZ Alkmaar come in with mixed league form, but their home numbers are still solid enough for them to score here. They have 29 goals in 13 home league games and have found the net in six of their last six Eredivisie home or away outings overall, which keeps the attacking case for both teams scoring alive even after the 3-0 defeat at FC Groningen.
Fortuna Sittard have been even more open in recent weeks, with both teams scoring in all six of their last six league matches and no clean sheet in 17 straight. Their away record is only four wins, two draws and eight losses, but they have scored 20 times on the road, so they usually contribute something even when the result goes against them.
The head-to-head also leans toward goals at both ends, with a 4-3 meeting in December 2025 and seven of the last nine league clashes going over 2.5 goals. That does not guarantee a BTTS bet on its own, but it fits the current pattern of AZ games containing chances at both ends and Fortuna rarely shutting teams out.
AZ’s 2.0 xG projection against Fortuna’s 1.1 suggests the home side should create the better chances, yet it still points to the visitors finding a way through as well. AZ have conceded 45 league goals this season, Fortuna 52, so neither defence has offered much reassurance when asked to close a game down.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 2/3. Fortuna have gone six league matches without a clean sheet, AZ have conceded 21 goals in 13 home league games, and both sides have been involved in a steady flow of goals recently. The December meeting finished 4-3, and AZ’s projected 2.0 to 1.1 xG split still leaves room for Fortuna to score even if the hosts edge it.
