Bologna host Lazio in the Coppa Italia on Wednesday evening at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, with both sides in mixed form and the cup offering a chance to shift focus from the league. Bologna, under Vincenzo Italiano, have lost their last three Serie A games and will look to the cup to regain momentum, while Lazio, led by Maurizio Sarri, are coming off a 2–2 draw at Juventus and will aim to carry that result into midweek. With league standings irrelevant for this tie, the match is a one-off with a place in the next round at stake, and the hosts will lean on a strong recent record in this fixture to advance.
Bologna’s last two league outings ended in defeat at home: 0–1 to Parma on 8 February and 0–3 to Milan on 3 February. Against Parma they had 13 shots to Parma’s five and slightly less of the ball, but conceded a stoppage-time winner and finished with ten men after a red card. Before that, they won 0–3 at Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Europa League on 29 January, lost 3–2 at Genoa on 25 January, and drew 2–2 at home to Celtic on 22 January. They have not won in Serie A in their last three attempts and have failed to score in both of their most recent league games.
Lazio took a point from their last match, drawing 2–2 at Juventus on 8 February in Serie A. Before that they beat Genoa 3–2 at home on 30 January, drew 0–0 at Lecce on 24 January, lost 0–3 at home to Como on 19 January, and won 0–1 at Hellas Verona on 11 January. Their last defeat was the heavy home loss to Como; since then they have one win and two draws, and the draw in Turin is their most notable recent result.
In head-to-heads, the sides drew 1–1 in Rome in December 2025. Bologna had beaten Lazio 5–0 at home in March 2025, while Lazio had won 3–0 at home in November 2024 and Bologna had won 2–1 at home in February 2024. Recent meetings have been mixed, with one heavy home win for Bologna and a tight draw in the latest encounter.
My prediction is under 2.5 goals at 1.53. Bologna have failed to score in their last two Serie A matches while Lazio have kept things tight in two of their last three, including the 2–2 at Juventus. The xG projection (1.92–0.95) supports a 2–0 finish.
