Bologna’s away numbers are the clearest reason to look at the result market here. They are fifth in the Serie A away table with seven wins, four draws and only four defeats from 15 road games, scoring 24 and conceding 18. Cremonese, by contrast, are down in 18th on home form with just two wins from 14, and they have taken only 12 points at home all season.
Cremonese did beat Parma 2-0 on 21 March, but that ended a run of four straight league defeats and does not erase a poor wider record. They are 17th overall with 15 losses in 30 matches, and their home results have been especially hard to trust for a match-result pick. Bologna are not arriving in perfect form after a home loss to Lazio and they have gone two games without a win, so this is not a one-sided profile, but their season-long away record is still stronger than Cremonese’s home one.
The recent scoring pattern also leans slightly toward the visitors finding the edge rather than cruising. Bologna have scored 24 away league goals, while Cremonese have managed only 12 in 14 home matches. The xG projection is fairly modest at 1.0 to 1.3, so this is not a spot for an emphatic away call, but it still points to Bologna creating a little more and fits the narrow 1-2 correct-score lean.
One extra result-market angle is Bologna scoring first in nine of their last ten, while Cremonese have conceded first in four of their last five. For an away-win selection, that matters more than broader goal trends because an early Bologna lead would put the match in the shape this bet needs.
My prediction is Away Win at 2.05. Bologna have been one of the better away sides in the division with seven wins from 15 road matches, while Cremonese have only two home league wins all season. The hosts have lost 15 of 30 overall, and Bologna also bring a useful game-state edge after scoring first in nine of their last ten while Cremonese have conceded first in four of their last five.
