ES Sétif arrive with a mixed but useful home profile for a match they need to control. They have five home wins, five draws and only one home loss in the league, with 18 goals scored and 11 conceded, which is a solid base for a home result rather than a free-flowing shootout.
ES Ben Aknoun are not a side that folds easily, but their away record is more ordinary than their 3rd-place standing suggests. They have four wins, four draws and four defeats on the road, and their away goal difference is level at 15-15, so they have been competitive without consistently turning trips into wins.
The recent form picture also leans toward the hosts. ES Sétif have two wins, one draw and three losses in their last six, but those wins both came at home and one of their recent home performances was a 3-0 success against ES Mostaganem. Ben Aknoun have been lively, yet their away results include a 0-0 at CS Constantine and a 1-0 defeat at JS Saoura, which leaves some doubt over whether they can impose themselves here.
There is a small head-to-head edge for ES Sétif too, with a 1-0 away win in November 2025 and a 1-1 draw in the meeting before that. The projected 2-1 scoreline and 1.5 to 0.9 xG split point to a tight match, so this is not a clean home banker, but the balance of home solidity and Ben Aknoun’s mixed away returns still favours the hosts.
My prediction is Home Win at 73/100. ES Sétif’s home record of five wins in 11 league games is far stronger than Ben Aknoun’s 4-4-4 away line, and the visitors have only a level 15-15 away goal difference. Sétif also beat Ben Aknoun 1-0 in the November 2025 meeting, while their recent home wins show they can turn that defensive base into three points.
