Both teams have a fair route to the scoresheet on 5 April because neither side arrives with a reliable defensive base. Getafe have scored in four of their last six league matches, while Athletic Club have gone 19 games without a clean sheet. Athletic’s away defending is also a concern, with 24 goals conceded in 14 league trips.
The counterpoint is that Getafe home matches have often been tight, with only 12 goals scored and 11 conceded across 14 home league games, and they sit on 25 goals from 29 matches overall. That is the main risk against a BTTS pick. Even so, Athletic have still managed 13 goals in 14 away matches, and the projected 1-2 score keeps both sides live despite Getafe’s modest attacking numbers.
Recent form is good enough on both sides to support at least one goal each. Getafe have won four and lost two of their last six league games, scoring in four of those six, while Athletic Club have one draw, three losses and two wins from their last six in all competitions but did score twice against Real Betis on 22 March. In that 2-1 win, Athletic produced 1.3 xG and six shots on target.
The head-to-head record is not a perfect fit for goals because five of the last six meetings finished under 2.5 goals, but BTTS has still landed in three of the last six and also in two of the last four meetings at Getafe. That matches the idea of a relatively low-scoring game where both teams can still get one.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 2.38. Athletic Club have gone 19 matches without a clean sheet, they have conceded 24 times in 14 away league games, Getafe have scored in four of their last six league matches, and the xG projection of 1.0 to 1.3 gives each team a realistic path to a goal.
