GS Ilioupolis come into this on a poor run of six matches without a win, and their home defeat to Athens Kallithea FC on 29 March was another blank in front of goal. They have also failed to score in several of those recent games, which is a bad sign when a stronger away side is visiting. Against a team that has taken points in three of the last four league meetings, the home side need a major lift to change that pattern.
APO Ellas Syrou arrive with better recent numbers, having won three of their last six and taken four points from their two matches before the narrow loss at AO Egaleo. They have also scored in five of those six outings, which gives them a steadier attacking floor than GS Ilioupolis. Even away from home, that level of output should be enough to keep them in control of a game where the hosts have been short on goals and confidence.
The head-to-head record leans the same way, with APO Ellas Syrou unbeaten in the last three meetings and winning here 2-1 in October 2025. Two of those three H2Hs finished 1-1, so GS Ilioupolis can frustrate them at times, but the away side have still avoided defeat every time in this sequence. That fits a contest where one goal may be enough to tilt the balance.
The projected numbers also point towards APO Ellas Syrou holding the edge, with xG of 0.8 to 1.1 in their favour. GS Ilioupolis have gone six league games without a win, while APO Ellas Syrou have scored first in six of their last seven and that habit matters in a tight relegation-round fixture. The only concern is that the estimated scoreline of 1-2 is not a comfortable away win, but it still sits on the right side of the line.
My prediction is Away Win at 3/5. APO Ellas Syrou have the better recent form, they have not lost any of the last three meetings with GS Ilioupolis, and they have been more reliable in front of goal over the past month. GS Ilioupolis are winless in six and have struggled to turn home games into results, so the visitors look likelier to leave with all three points.
