Posušje arrive with an uneven league run, but the home numbers are the bigger concern for an away-win angle: four wins, four draws and four defeats at home, with only 10 goals scored in 12 league matches on their own ground. Their recent results have also been low-scoring, with each of their last six league games decided by a single goal. That keeps them competitive, but it has not turned into consistent control.
Borac come in at the top of the table with 62 points, and their away record is strong enough to carry the favourite tag here: seven wins, two draws and only three defeats on the road, plus just eight goals conceded away from home. They have also won six straight league matches, so there is little sign of a dip. In a fixture like this, that kind of away resilience matters more than Posušje’s occasional ability to stay close.
The head-to-head record points the same way. Borac have won all eight of the recent meetings listed, and Posušje have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of them. The scoring pattern is not especially wild, though, with eight of the last nine H2H games finishing under 2.5 goals, so this does not look like a match where Borac need to overwhelm their hosts to get the job done.
There is a small tension between Borac’s winning momentum and the projected 1.2 expected goals away from home, because that does not scream a runaway scoreline. Even so, Posušje’s modest home output, Borac’s tight away defence, and the repeated H2H edge all point toward the visitors handling a narrow, controlled contest rather than leaving points behind.
My prediction is Away Win at 9/20. Borac have six league wins in a row, they are second in the away table with seven wins from 12 trips, and they have allowed only eight away goals all season. Posušje’s home record is balanced rather than dominant, and they have lost each of the recent head-to-head meetings listed.
