Lommel SK come into this one with four wins, one draw and one loss from their last six league matches, and their home numbers are solid enough to trust for another open game. They have scored 26 and conceded 17 in 14 home fixtures, which points to matches that usually carry a decent attacking edge rather than a slow tempo.
RWDM Brussels have been harder to pin down, but their recent away form has still produced goals, with five wins, four draws and five defeats on the road and 21 scored in 14 away league matches. Their last six have included only one clean sheet, and four of those games saw both sides score, which fits a fixture where they can contribute even if they do not control it.
The head-to-head record also leans toward chances at both ends and a decent total. The meeting in August 2025 finished 3-3, while Lommel also beat RWDM 1-0 in April 2025, so this pairing has not been shy of swings in scorelines. With Lommel sitting 4th on 50 points and RWDM 11th on 33, the gap in the table is clear, but not so wide that the visitors look shut out.
There is a small tension with the projection, because the expected 2-1 scoreline only just clears the line, yet the underlying numbers still point to enough attacking output. Lommel have scored 55 league goals in 29 matches, RWDM 45, and both teams are arriving off recent games that produced chances at either end. That combination is enough to favour a total above the line rather than a tight, low-scoring contest.
My prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at 13/20. Lommel have gone five league games without a clean sheet, RWDM have seen both teams score in five of their last six, and the August 2025 head-to-head ended 3-3. Lommel’s home record and RWDM’s away figures also point to enough attacking threat on both sides to get this line across.
