Maccabi Bney Reine come into this one with four matches without a win and only one home victory all season, while Hapoel Jerusalem have gone four without a win themselves but have still taken points more often away from home, with two wins and five draws in 12 league trips. That away record matters for the X2 angle because Jerusalem have been harder to beat on the road than Reine have been at home.
The recent scorelines also lean away from a home upset. Maccabi Bney Reine have lost five of their last six league games and have failed to keep a clean sheet in five straight, while Hapoel Jerusalem have scored in two of their last three away matches and held Maccabi Haifa to a draw on 7 February. Reine’s home figures of nine scored and 30 conceded underline how often they have been exposed there.
There is a little tension in the numbers because Jerusalem’s last outing ended in a 1-0 defeat and the projected scoreline is a narrow 1-2, so this is not a comfortable away win call. Even so, the bigger picture still points to the visitors avoiding defeat: Reine have lost 19 of 24 league matches overall, and Jerusalem’s away draw count shows they are well equipped to take something if the game stays tight.
The head-to-head record supports that too, with Maccabi Bney Reine unbeaten in four meetings and winning the last two league clashes 2-1 and 2-1 away and at home. Hapoel Jerusalem’s away profile is also steadier than Reine’s home record, so the safest angle is still on the visitors not losing rather than trying to force a straight away win.
My prediction is X2 at 29/100. Hapoel Jerusalem have lost only five of their 12 away league matches, while Maccabi Bney Reine have won just once at home and are winless in four. Reine have also lost five of their last six, and Jerusalem’s ability to draw on the road gives the double chance extra cover even if the match stays close.
