Second-placed Milan host Como at the San Siro on Wednesday evening in a rescheduled Serie A clash, with Massimiliano Allegri's men heavy favourites after winning all three meetings between the sides this season. The Rossoneri sit 12 points clear of their seventh-placed opponents and boast the league's longest active unbeaten run at 23 matches, a feat not achieved since Fabio Capello's 1992/93 campaign. With just one defeat all season—that August loss to Cremonese—Milan remain firmly in the title race, trailing Inter by eight points. For Cesc Fàbregas's visitors, a European place remains the target, though their 41-year wait for a league victory over Milan looms large.
Milan arrive in superb form, winning four of their last five league games. They beat Pisa 2-1 on February 13, secured a commanding 3-0 win at Bologna on February 3, drew 1-1 at Roma, edged Lecce 1-0, and thrashed Como 3-1 on January 15 in the reverse fixture. Allegri noted his side relaxed after going ahead against Pisa and were caught napping for the equaliser, but the late winner extended their remarkable run. Away from San Siro, Milan remain unbeaten in 12 league matches this campaign—the only side in Europe's top five leagues along with Bayern Munich to avoid an away defeat.
Como's recent form has been more erratic, despite sitting in a commendable seventh place. Their 2-1 home defeat to relegation-threatened Fiorentina on February 14 came with controversy, as a late red card for their experienced striker drew stinging criticism from Fàbregas, who said those who cannot handle provocation should play another sport. Before that loss, Como drew 1-1 with Napoli in the Coppa Italia quarterfinal, earned a goalless draw against Atalanta, and recorded an emphatic 6-0 demolition of Torino in January—their biggest ever Serie A win.
Milan hold a commanding head-to-head advantage, unbeaten in 13 league meetings against Como, winning eight and drawing five. Como's last league victory over Milan came 41 years ago, a statistic that weighs heavily on Fàbregas's men. In their three meetings this season, Milan have scored at least two goals each time, winning 3-1 and 2-1 in Serie A plus an earlier cup encounter. That January fixture at Como's Sinigaglia stadium saw the Rossoneri come from behind to win convincingly, highlighting their mental resilience.
My prediction is Double Chance 1X & Under 3.5 at 1.80. Milan's defensive record of just 18 goals conceded combined with Como's 16—among the league's best—suggests a tight affair. The hosts' 15 wins and eight draws demonstrate their ability to avoid defeat, while Como's league record without a victory over Milan spanning four decades makes an away win unlikely. With both teams conceding sparingly and Milan's tendency to control games without running up the score, a low-to-moderate goal total seems probable. The xG projection (1.52–1.17) supports a 2-1 finish.
