Ravenna come into this one in solid shape, with two wins and a draw from their last three league games and only one loss in their last six. The latest result was a 2-0 away win at Gubbio, and that clean sheet fits a home side that has been far more reliable in front of its own supporters than away from them.
At home, Ravenna have been outstanding all season: 12 wins, three draws and just one defeat, with 25 goals scored and only 11 conceded. That record sits well above Pineto’s away return of six wins, five draws and five losses, and it is the clearest reason this leans toward the hosts rather than a cautious double-chance angle.
Pineto arrive with some useful recent results, but their form is less secure than Ravenna’s home numbers suggest. They were held to a 0-0 draw by Sambenedettese in their most recent outing, and their away goals profile remains modest at 18 scored in 16 trips, which is not a lot of support for overturning Ravenna on Saturday evening.
There is also a small head-to-head edge for Ravenna after the 3-0 win in Pineto on 29 November 2025. The projected 2-1 scoreline and 1.4 to 0.8 xG split point to Ravenna having the edge, even if Pineto’s away record means this is not a complete mismatch.
My prediction is Home Win at 3/4. Ravenna have won 12 of 16 home matches in the league, they have lost only once at home all season, and they have kept two clean sheets in their last three league games. Pineto’s away record is respectable but not dominant, and their recent 0-0 draw underlines a lower attacking ceiling than Ravenna’s home consistency.
