Sunderland host Liverpool at the Stadium of Light on Wednesday 11 February in a Premier League fixture that pits ninth against sixth. Régis Le Bris’s side sit on 36 points (9 wins, 9 draws, 7 defeats) with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded, while Arne Slot’s Liverpool have 39 points (11 wins, 6 draws, 8 defeats) and a 40–35 goal difference. The visitors are favourites to take the points in a match that could matter for both sides’ push toward the European places.
Sunderland’s last outing was a 3–0 defeat at Arsenal on 7 February. The first 40 minutes were even, but the hosts took control after the opener and pulled away with two second-half goals. Before that, Le Bris’s team had beaten Burnley 3–0 at home and lost 3–1 at West Ham; they also drew 1–1 at Everton in the FA Cup and edged Crystal Palace 2–1 at home. Form at the Stadium of Light has been better than on the road, where they have shipped goals against stronger sides.
Liverpool come into the game after a 2–1 home loss to Manchester City on 8 February. They led in the second half but conceded an equaliser and then a late penalty, and had a potential leveller ruled out by VAR in a match that finished with a red card for the hosts. Prior to that, Slot’s side had thrashed Newcastle 4–1 at Anfield and Qarabağ 6–0 in the Champions League, but lost 3–2 at Bournemouth in the league and won 3–0 at Marseille in Europe. Results have been mixed: strong at home against weaker opposition, less convincing in the biggest domestic games.
The last meeting was a 1–1 draw at Anfield on 3 December 2025. Sunderland went in front in the second half and were close to a first league win at Anfield in over four decades until a late equaliser. In the longer head-to-head, Liverpool have the edge with 66 wins to Sunderland’s 41 in 140 meetings, with 33 draws, and have won only three of the last 25 encounters between the two.
My prediction is Liverpool to win at 1.73. Sunderland have conceded three in each of their last two away league games while Liverpool have scored four or more in two of their last five at home. The xG projection (0.98–2.21) supports a 1–2 finish.
