TSG Balingen come into this one winless in three and that run includes defeats to Eintracht Trier and SV Sandhausen, plus a goalless draw at FC Bayern Alzenau. Their home numbers are modest too, with only two wins, two draws and nine losses at home, and they have conceded 30 goals in those 13 home games. That leaves little room for optimism against an away side that has been more productive on the road.
SC Freiburg II U23 have also lost their last three league matches, but their away profile is still more convincing than Balingen’s home record. They have three away wins and three away draws from 12 trips, and their overall scoring return of 51 goals is far stronger than Balingen’s 27. Even with recent defeats, Freiburg II have generally been the side more likely to find a breakthrough away from home.
The head-to-head record also leans towards the visitors. SC Freiburg II U23 have avoided defeat in three straight meetings with Balingen, and they have scored first in four of the last five clashes. The most recent meeting ended 4-4 in September 2025, which does hint at risk in the market, but the wider pattern still points to Freiburg having the edge when these sides meet.
Balingen’s defensive record is the bigger concern here, with 64 league goals conceded and 30 of those coming in home fixtures. Freiburg II have not kept many clean sheets either, so an away win does not need a perfect performance; it only needs them to be sharper in a game where both teams have enough attacking numbers to leave the result open. The 1.9 to 1.3 xG projection also sits on the visitors’ side, even if the scoreline is unlikely to be comfortable.
My prediction is Away Win at 11/10. SC Freiburg II U23 have the better away split, Balingen have taken only two home wins all season, and the visitors have avoided defeat in three consecutive head-to-head meetings. Freiburg II’s stronger scoring rate also gives them the edge in a game where Balingen’s home defence has been leaky.
