Como sits sixth in Serie A with 41 points from 23 matches, boasting 11 wins, eight draws, and four losses while scoring 37 goals against 16 conceded. Fiorentina languishes in 18th place with 18 points from 24 matches, recording just three wins, nine draws, and 12 losses alongside 27 goals scored and 38 allowed. The teams clash at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Saturday afternoon, with Como favored to claim victory amid their push for European spots and Fiorentina desperate for points to escape the relegation zone.
Como remains unbeaten over the last five outings under manager Cesc Fabregas, drawing 1-1 away to Napoli in the Coppa Italia before advancing 7-6 on penalties to reach the semifinals for the first time in 40 years. That followed a goalless home draw with Atalanta in Serie A and a 3-1 away win over Fiorentina in the Coppa Italia. Earlier results included a 6-0 home thrashing of Torino and a 3-0 away triumph at Lazio, both in Serie A. The streak extends from their last defeat, a 4-0 loss away to Inter on December 6, 2025.
Fiorentina shows mixed form in the last five games under manager Paolo Vanoli, drawing 2-2 at home to Torino in Serie A after conceding a stoppage-time equalizer from a set piece despite dominating the second half. Prior matches brought a 1-2 away loss to Napoli in Serie A and a 1-3 home defeat to Como in the Coppa Italia. A 1-2 home loss to Cagliari in Serie A preceded a 2-1 away win at Bologna in the same competition. That Bologna victory marked their last success on January 18, 2026, leaving them winless in the subsequent four fixtures.
Como holds the edge in recent head-to-head encounters, securing a 2-1 away win at Fiorentina in Serie A on September 21, 2025, followed by a 3-1 away victory in the Coppa Italia on January 27, 2026. Over nine total meetings, Como claims five wins while Fiorentina has four. No draws occurred in those clashes, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
My prediction is Home Win at 1.73. Como's unbeaten run and strong scoring at home contrast with Fiorentina's struggles on the road, where they earned only eight points from 12 games. The xG projection (2.13–1.06) supports a 2-1 finish.
