Eibar come into this meeting with six matches unbeaten in LaLiga 2, winning five of them and keeping four clean sheets in that run. At Ipurua they have been especially hard to break down, with just 12 goals conceded in 17 home league games and only two home defeats all season.
That home profile is a strong fit for BTTS - No, because Eibar have repeatedly kept opponents quiet rather than getting dragged into open games. Their last six league fixtures have produced four wins by a single goal and a 0-0 draw, while the recent 1-0 away win at Real Sociedad B U21 followed another controlled defensive display.
AD Ceuta arrive with a more uneven away record, sitting 20th in the road table with only three away wins, five draws and nine defeats. They have also gone five league matches without a clean sheet, and their away scoring has been modest at 17 goals in 17 trips, which leaves them needing a very efficient evening to land on both teams scoring.
There is a slight tension with the projected 1-1 scoreline and Eibar’s low home goals against, but the balance of numbers still leans to one side staying blank. Eibar’s home record, Ceuta’s weak away return, and the visitors’ recent run without a shutout all point toward the game being decided without both nets being hit.
My prediction is BTTS - No at 73/100. Eibar have kept four clean sheets in their last six league matches, Ceuta have gone five games without one, and the visitors’ away record is only three wins from 17. Eibar’s home defence has been the stronger side of this matchup all season, so a one-sided scoring pattern looks more likely than an exchange of goals.
