Eintracht Norderstedt come into this one without a win in four league matches, and their home record is a concern for an away result: only three home wins all season, with 25 conceded in 12 games. Even their most recent home outing ended 1-1 against 1. FC Phönix Lübeck, which did not offer much reassurance about turning their own ground into an advantage.
SV Werder Bremen II U23 are not flawless on the road, but their away profile is still stronger than Norderstedt’s home numbers. They have three away wins already, sit higher in the table, and have taken seven points from their last four league matches. The most recent win, a 1-0 success over SV Drochtersen/Assel, also showed they can keep things tight when needed.
The head-to-head record leans in the same direction, with Werder’s reserve side unbeaten in the last three meetings, including a 2-2 draw in September 2025 and a 4-1 win in April 2023. Norderstedt have not kept a clean sheet in any of those recent clashes, which matters because the away side do not need to dominate to get the result.
There is a small tension with the projected 1-2 scoreline, because Norderstedt have scored in enough recent games to make this feel live at both ends. Even so, their defensive record at home and their run of four matches without a win leave them vulnerable if Werder Bremen II U23 get to their usual away scoring level.
My prediction is Away Win at 6/5. SV Werder Bremen II U23 have the better overall record, they have won three away matches already, and Norderstedt’s home numbers are poor for a side backing a home result. The head-to-head also favours the visitors, with Werder unbeaten in the last three meetings and Norderstedt failing to keep a clean sheet in those games.