FC Zimbru Chişinău arrive in solid shape, unbeaten in their last six league matches and with four wins and a draw in that spell. They have also taken 21 points from 10 home games, so they are hard to shake off in Chişinău, even if their recent home outings have not always been one-sided.
Sheriff Tiraspol have been just as reliable lately, winning five of their last six and keeping five straight clean sheets in that run. Away from home they have collected 22 points from 11 league matches, and their recent trips have often been controlled, with narrow wins at FC Bălți and Dacia Buiucani showing they can manage tight games on the road.
This fixture has a history of restraint as well as tension. Five of the last seven meetings have stayed under 2.5 goals, and Sheriff have failed to keep a clean sheet in the three most recent head-to-heads, which keeps FC Zimbru in the picture even when Sheriff start well.
There is a small clash in the numbers, though: Sheriff’s away record is better than Zimbru’s at home, while Zimbru have also won the last two league meetings in Chişinău and the October 2025 trip to Sheriff. That mix points to a close contest rather than a comfortable home edge, especially with both sides sitting near the top of the table and defending well.
My prediction is Away Win at 5/4. Sheriff have won five of their last six, kept five consecutive clean sheets in that spell, and been first to score in five straight league games. Their away record is strong at seven wins from 11, while Zimbru’s recent home form includes three draws in 10 and only 26 goals scored there across the league season.
