FK Napredak Kruševac come into this one with only two draws and four defeats across their last six league matches, and their home record is still poor at just two wins in 15. They have also gone 10 league games without a win, while conceding in nine straight, so even at home they have not been giving themselves much protection.
FK TSC Bačka Topola are not in sparkling form either, but their away numbers are far steadier than Napredak’s home returns. They have four wins, four draws and seven losses on the road, and they have avoided defeat in seven of their last 10 away league trips. That matters here because Napredak’s defence has been too easy to play through, with 63 goals conceded overall and 35 at home.
The recent scoring patterns point toward TSC having the better chance of taking control. Napredak have scored in five of their last six, but they have also allowed at least two goals in four of those matches, which leaves them exposed if the visitors find their level. TSC’s last six league games have included three draws, one win and two losses, and although that run has not produced much attacking output, their away xG and goals numbers are still superior to Napredak’s home returns.
Head to head, TSC have also had the stronger edge, including a 4-2 win in March 2025 and a 3-0 away victory in October 2024. The most recent meeting finished 1-1 in November, so there is some tension with a straight away-win call, but the broader matchup still leans their way. TSC have also avoided defeat in 10 straight league meetings with Napredak, which is a useful marker when weighing up the result market.
My prediction is Away Win at 31/50. TSC have a better away record, Napredak are winless in 10 league matches, and the hosts have conceded 35 times in 15 home games. TSC have also avoided defeat in 10 straight head-to-heads with Napredak, and their stronger overall defensive numbers give them the cleaner path to three points despite the 1-1 draw in the most recent meeting.
