Hapoel Haifa come into this on one win from their last six league matches, with four draws and five matches in that stretch finishing without a clean sheet. Even at home, their league record is only two wins from twelve, and they have conceded 23 goals in those games, so they usually give opponents a route into the match.
Maccabi Tel Aviv arrive with a much stronger away profile, taking six wins and two defeats from their 12 league trips while scoring 24 and conceding only 11. They have also found the net in each of their last three league outings, including a 3-2 win over Ashdod SC and a 4-1 success at Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona, which fits a side that can create enough to score again here.
The recent head-to-heads also point toward goals at both ends rather than a one-sided clean sheet. Maccabi Tel Aviv have won five of the last eight meetings, and Hapoel Haifa have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of the last eight against them, with the latest two league meetings ending 2-1 and 3-1.
There is a small tension with the BTTS call because Hapoel Haifa’s own scoring record is patchier, including a 0-2 home loss to Ashdod SC and a 0-1 home defeat to Maccabi Bney Reine in their last six. Still, their 1-1 draw at Hapoel Be'er Sheva and 2-2 draw at Beitar Jerusalem show they can contribute, while Maccabi Tel Aviv’s away numbers and the 1.4 to 1.6 xG projection leave room for both sides to land a goal.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 31/50. Hapoel Haifa have scored in two of their last three league matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv have scored in each of their last three league games, and Hapoel Haifa have not kept a clean sheet in their last eight meetings with Maccabi Tel Aviv. The xG line is also close enough, at 1.4 for Hapoel Haifa and 1.6 for Maccabi Tel Aviv, to support a score draw or a narrow away win with both sides on the board.
