KF Shkëndija go into this one with six league matches unbeaten and three wins from their last three in the 1. MFL, while their home record remains excellent at nine wins, two draws and only one defeat. At home they have allowed just seven goals in 12 league games, which is a strong base for a straight home victory pick.
FK Pelister Bitola arrive with no wins in seven league matches and have drawn or lost six of their last seven in the 1. MFL. Their away record is modest too, with only two wins from 13 trips and 23 goals conceded on the road, so they have not been reliable when asked to take points outside Bitola.
The recent head-to-head also leans Shkëndija’s way, with the hosts unbeaten in nine meetings and winners of the last clash here 2-1 on 2 March. Even so, the 2-1 scoreline and Shkëndija’s narrow 1-0 and 2-1 type wins suggest Pelister can compete for spells rather than be completely shut out.
There is a small tension with a clean-sheet angle because Shkëndija have not always made home wins comfortable, but the wider split still points one way. Their league numbers are stronger across the board, they are 2nd with 58 points, and Pelister’s 10th place, seven-match winless run and poor away return all fit a home-side result far better than an upset.
My prediction is Home Win at 1/3. Shkëndija are unbeaten in six, have won nine of their 12 home league matches, and Pelister have gone seven league games without a win. The visitors have also taken only two away wins all season, while Shkëndija have already beaten them 2-1 in this fixture on 2 March.
