Las Palmas arrive in strong home form for a clean-sheet angle, with nine wins, five draws and only three losses at home, and they have conceded just 11 goals there all season. They also kept Huesca out in the 1-0 win here in January 2023 and the 0-0 draw in March 2022, which fits a low-scoring edge when these sides meet in the Canary Islands.
Huesca’s away record points in the same direction. They have taken only two away wins all league season, with 12 defeats and just 13 goals scored on the road, and they have now gone seven matches without a win. Their recent away losses at Granada and Málaga, plus the shutout draw at home to Cultural Leonesa in their latest game, leave plenty of concern about their ability to score twice, or even once, against a disciplined host side.
Las Palmas themselves have mixed home results with control rather than chaos: two of their last three league wins were 2-0 and 1-0, and their only recent defeat came away at Eibar. Huesca have been involved in more open scorelines lately, but that has mostly happened when they are chasing games on the road, which is less helpful if the match starts with Las Palmas dictating the tempo and protecting a strong home defensive record.
The one tension is the projected 1.1 away xG and the 1-1 correct score call, so this is not a pure shutout script. Even so, Huesca’s 13 away goals all season, their seven-game winless run, and Las Palmas’ excellent home defensive numbers still lean away from both teams finding the net.
My prediction is BTTS - No at 57/100. Las Palmas have allowed only 11 home goals all season, Huesca have scored just 13 away, and the visitors are winless in seven. The head-to-head is also helpful, with six of the last seven meetings going under 2.5 goals, which usually suits a clean-sheet side of the BTTS market.
