Polissya Zhytomyr go into 5 April with three wins in their last four league matches and just one defeat in their last six, while NK Veres Rivne arrive winless in four and without a goal in their last two. That contrast matters for a home win call, because Polissya have been the more reliable side both overall and in the recent run of games.
At home, Polissya’s record is five wins, three draws and three defeats, with 14 goals scored and only seven conceded. Veres, by contrast, have taken only two away wins all season and have just eight goals from nine trips. The away numbers leave them needing a sharp improvement to take anything from Zhytomyr.
Recent xG fits the same direction. Polissya’s 2-0 win at Kudrivka came with 2.3 xG and only 0.3 xGA, while Veres’ 0-1 loss to Kolos Kovalivka produced just 0.9 xG. That gap is not huge enough to promise a blowout, and the projected 2-1 scoreline leaves a little room for Veres to stay competitive, but it still leans toward the hosts controlling enough of the game.
My prediction is Home Win at 18/25. Polissya have won three of their last four league matches, Veres are winless in four, and the visitors have failed to score in their last two league games. Polissya’s home record is stronger than Veres’ away record, and the head-to-head is also in the hosts’ favour, with Polissya winning each of the last two meetings in Zhytomyr and taking the away fixture in September 2025 as well.
Polissya Zhytomyr look the likelier winners because they are harder to beat at home and Veres have been blunt going forward on the road and in recent weeks. The only caution is that the head-to-head has produced a few open games, so a narrow win is more plausible than a comfortable one.
