PSM Makassar come into this home game without a win in five, but their recent matches have at least carried attacking intent. They scored three at Malut United on 7 March and have found the net in five of their last six league outings, though that has not stopped them from conceding too often. Persis Solo have taken more points lately, with six league games unbeaten and only one goal conceded in their last two away matches, yet their away record still reads two wins, four draws and six losses.
For a home-win pick, the key is that PSM’s home edge is modest rather than dominant, but Persis’ away numbers remain patchy. PSM have collected 11 home points from 12 matches and scored 13 goals at home, while Persis have only 10 points from 12 away games and 19 goals conceded on the road. That leaves the visitors vulnerable if PSM can turn their heavier home pressure into a cleaner performance than in the 3-3 draw at Malut United and the 2-4 defeat to Persita.
The head-to-head record also leans PSM’s way, with three wins in the last five meetings and four without defeat overall. The 3-4 game in Solo in November 2025 shows Persis can trouble them, but PSM have already beaten them 1-0, 3-0 and 3-2 in this run of meetings. Persis’ current unbeaten spell deserves respect, yet their recent away results have included two goalless draws, so they have not always turned solid phases into away wins.
PSM’s broader league profile still supports a narrow home success. They sit above Persis in the table, have 29 goals scored to Persis’ 28, and their xG projection of 1.6 to 1.1 suggests they should create the better chances. The slight tension is that PSM have not been reliable defensively, so a clean sheet is not the expectation; they probably need to win a more open contest rather than control it from start to finish.
My prediction is Home Win at 83/100. PSM’s home record is better than Persis Solo’s away record, the visitors have only two away wins all season, and the head-to-head trend favours PSM with three wins in the last five meetings. The 1.6 to 1.1 xG split also points to the hosts having the edge, even if both teams’ recent scoring form suggests this could still be fairly tight.
