RFC Liège come into this with four games without a win, while OC Charleroi have gone five without a victory and have also been beaten in each of their last five league outings. That sort of form keeps the game open, especially with both sides carrying leaky defensive numbers over the season.
Liège’s home record points to goals more than control: 24 scored and 16 conceded in 14 home league matches, with eight wins and only one draw. Charleroi’s away figures are also not restrictive, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded on the road, so there is enough room for chances at both ends.
Recent matches add to that view. Liège’s last two league games produced four goals against SK Beveren and a 1-0 loss to Beerschot, while Charleroi’s latest three have included a 1-2 defeat to Jong KRC Genk U23, a 3-1 loss at Kortrijk and a 2-4 home defeat to RFC Seraing. Both teams have also been conceding first regularly, which tends to push matches toward a higher total.
The head-to-head record is useful too, with four of the last five meetings featuring both teams scoring. The 1-1 draw in November 2025 shows these fixtures can stay balanced, but Liège’s home scoring and Charleroi’s habit of allowing chances still point towards a game that should clear the two-goal mark.
My prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at 7/10. Liège’s home matches average more than three goals overall when you combine their 24 scored and 16 conceded, Charleroi have conceded 60 in the league, and both teams have been involved in several recent open games. The one concern is the most recent head-to-head finished 1-1, but the current defensive form on both sides still leans towards a match with at least three goals.
