Sivasspor come into this game with four wins from their last five league matches, and their recent home work has been solid too, with seven wins, seven draws and only two defeats at this ground. They have also kept things fairly controlled in attack and defence overall, scoring 40 and conceding 31 across the season, which usually leaves room for at least a couple of goals rather than a shutout affair.
Esenler Erokspor arrive in third place with one of the strongest away records in the division, winning nine, drawing four and losing three on the road while scoring 37 away goals. Their overall return of 73 goals in 32 league matches shows they can contribute on their own, even if they were held to a 2-0 home defeat by Erzurumspor FK in their most recent outing.
That combination points toward goals rather than a flat contest. Sivasspor have scored in their last three league games, while Esenler Erokspor have failed to keep a clean sheet in four straight matches. The head-to-head also leans that way, with the most recent meeting in November 2025 ending 2-1 to Esenler Erokspor, and Sivasspor’s home form has often been good enough to add to the scoring.
There is a small note of caution because the projected scoreline is only 1-1, so this is not a strong case for a high-scoring match. Even so, the basic requirement for over 1.5 goals looks well covered by the teams’ scoring records, Esenler Erokspor’s away numbers, and the recent pattern of both sides finding the net or at least allowing chances.
My prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at 1/5. Sivasspor have produced at least two goals in five of their last six league matches, Esenler Erokspor have scored 73 times in the league and 37 of those have come away from home, and both teams have recent defensive gaps. Their latest head-to-head finished 2-1, which fits the case for a low threshold over.
