SV Babelsberg 03 come into this one with a decent scoring rhythm, having gone unbeaten in their last two league games and found the net in five of their last six. The 2-2 draw with Berliner FC Dynamo on 1 April followed a 5-0 home win over BSG Chemie Leipzig, and their recent home matches have usually been lively rather than cagey.
Hertha Zehlendorf’s away record points in the same direction, but for the wrong reasons from their point of view. They have taken only one away win all season, have lost eight of their 11 league trips, and have conceded 20 goals on the road. Their last outing, a 3-0 defeat to FC Carl Zeiss Jena on 1 April, was another reminder that they can struggle to stay compact.
The head-to-head also leans toward Babelsberg having the edge at home. SV Babelsberg 03 beat Hertha Zehlendorf 2-1 in this fixture in January 2025, and the away side’s overall away profile is much weaker than Babelsberg’s home numbers, where they have collected three wins and only one draw in 13 league matches. That is not a dominant home record, but it is still clearly stronger than Hertha’s travel return.
There is still a small tension around the score projection because Hertha have scored in some recent away games, and Babelsberg have not been especially secure at the back. Even so, Babelsberg’s stronger home output, Hertha’s heavy away loss count, and the fact that Hertha have conceded at least two goals in several recent matches all point toward the home side controlling enough of the game to edge it.
My prediction is Home Win at 17/20. Babelsberg have the better overall record, a more reliable home return than Hertha’s away numbers, and they have already beaten this opponent at home in the recent league meeting. Hertha’s single away win all season and their 20 goals conceded on the road make it hard to trust them to take anything from a fixture where Babelsberg have enough attacking form to find a decisive goal.
