SV Werder Bremen hosts FC Bayern München at the Weserstadion in Bundesliga action on Saturday afternoon. The home side holds 16th place with 19 points from four wins, seven draws, and ten losses, scoring 22 goals while allowing 39. Leaders Bayern claim first position with 54 points from seventeen wins, three draws, and one loss, netting 79 goals against 19 conceded. Bayern arrives as heavy favorites. Bremen fights to climb from the relegation playoff zone, while Bayern seeks to widen their 6-point lead at the summit.
Daniel Thioune manages Bremen amid a tough stretch. They lost 1-0 away to SC Freiburg in their latest match, failing to score despite Freiburg dropping to ten men in the 52nd minute. A 1-1 home draw with Borussia Mönchengladbach came before that. They dropped a 0-2 home decision to TSG Hoffenheim. A 1-0 away loss to Bayer 04 Leverkusen added to the woes. The run started with a 3-3 home tie against Eintracht Frankfurt. Bremen stays winless across eleven league outings. Their last win arrived in early November 2025, defeating VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 at home in Bundesliga.
Vincent Kompany leads Bayern through a dominant season. They earned a 2-0 home victory over RB Leipzig in the DFB Pokal quarterfinals recently, scoring in the 64th and 67th minutes after a scoreless first half. A 5-1 home thrashing of TSG Hoffenheim preceded that in league play. They drew 2-2 away at Hamburger SV. A 2-1 away win versus PSV Eindhoven occurred in the UEFA Champions League. Their sole league setback came in a 2-1 home loss to FC Augsburg.
Bayern controls recent head-to-head battles against Bremen. They claimed victory in 26 of the last 28 league clashes. Bayern secured wins in all 15 of their latest Bundesliga away trips to the Weserstadion. Bremen last overcame Bayern in January 2024, winning 1-0 away in Bundesliga.
My prediction is Away Win & Over 2.5 at 1.57. Bayern nets 3.8 goals per match on average. They tallied at least two in each of 14 straight away league games. Bremen's backline yields 1.86 goals per fixture. Bayern struck 140 times across 52 encounters. The xG projection (1.19–2.59) supports a 1-3 finish.
