Tottenham Hotspur, currently sitting 14th with 29 points, welcome Newcastle United to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Tuesday evening in a clash between two sides desperate to halt their downward slides. Newcastle occupy 12th place on 33 points, making them marginal favorites despite both teams being separated by just four points and sharing identical goal differences. Neither side can afford another stumble with the bottom half becoming increasingly congested, and this fixture arrives at a critical point in both clubs' seasons.
Thomas Frank's side have won just one of their last five Premier League matches, with that solitary victory coming back on December 28 against Crystal Palace. The 2-0 defeat at Old Trafford last Saturday saw them reduced to ten men when Cristian Romero was sent off in the 29th minute for a reckless challenge. Prior to that, Spurs salvaged a 2-2 draw at home against Manchester City and collected another point in a 2-2 stalemate at Burnley. Their Champions League form offers some consolation with wins against Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, but domestic struggles remain the primary concern.
Eddie Howe's Newcastle have endured an even bleaker run, losing four of their last five matches across all competitions. The 2-3 home defeat to Brentford last weekend extended their winless Premier League streak to over six weeks, with their last league victory coming on December 30 against Burnley. Heavy losses to Liverpool (4-1) and Manchester City (3-1 in the EFL Cup) have further dented confidence, and the 1-1 draw against Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League provided only temporary respite. The Magpies have collected just one point from their last four league outings.
Newcastle hold a strong historical advantage in this fixture, winning 20 of the last 36 Premier League meetings between these clubs compared to Tottenham's 11 victories. The reverse fixture in December ended 2-2 at St. James' Park, continuing a recent trend that has seen Newcastle win three of the previous four competitive encounters. Spurs last tasted victory in this fixture back in December 2023 when they won 4-1 at home, but away trips to Newcastle have proved particularly difficult.
My prediction is Newcastle United to win at 2.35. Tottenham have conceded 35 goals in 25 league matches while Newcastle have scored 35 in the same number of games, suggesting attacking potential meets defensive vulnerability. Newcastle's away record of nine wins this season compares favorably to Spurs' home return of just seven victories. The xG projection (1.08–1.38) supports a 1-2 finish.
