West Ham come into the tie without a clean sheet in three straight matches, while Leeds have also kept only one shutout across their last six. That fits a Both Teams To Score angle well, especially with West Ham conceding two at Aston Villa and Leeds drawing blanks in only two of their last six overall. The projected 1.4 to 1.2 xG split also points to chances at both ends rather than a one-sided cup contest.
Recent scorelines lean the same way. West Ham have seen both teams score in draws with Manchester City and Brentford, and they were involved in a 5-2 game at Liverpool, so their matches have not been short on action. Leeds, meanwhile, have drawn 0-0 in each of their last two league games, but before that they beat Norwich 3-0 in the FA Cup and drew 1-1 at Aston Villa, which leaves their recent attacking output a little uneven rather than absent.
There is also some support from the head-to-head record. Five of the last six meetings have seen both teams score, including Leeds’ 2-1 win over West Ham in October 2025 and a 2-2 draw in January 2023. The only tension is Leeds’ pair of recent 0-0s, yet those came against different opponents and do not erase the broader pattern in this fixture.
West Ham’s home numbers and Leeds’ away profile also sit comfortably with goals at both ends. West Ham average 1.71 goals per home match in the league context provided, while Leeds average 1.35 away, so neither side looks shut out by the venue alone. With West Ham three games without a win and Leeds unbeaten in three, a cagey start is possible, but not enough to outweigh the scoring trends on both sides.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 67/100. West Ham have gone three matches without a clean sheet, Leeds have conceded in most of their recent league and cup outings, and five of the last six head-to-heads have landed this market. The 1.4 to 1.2 xG projection leaves room for each side to find a goal, even if the likely 1-1 scoreline feels fairly tight.
