Wuppertaler SV come into this on a rough run, with just one win in their last six league matches and four games without a victory. Their most recent outing finished 0-0 at home to Sportfreunde Lotte, and that followed a narrow home win over 1. FC Köln II U23 plus a series of defeats that have left them 16th in the table.
1. FC Bocholt have been a little more reliable, with two wins in their last three league games and three victories in their last six overall. They beat SSVg Velbert 2-1 on 21 March, and although they have had setbacks against stronger visiting sides, their away record is still more stable than Wuppertal’s home return.
The main angle here is Bocholt’s ability to keep at least level for long spells against a side that have struggled to protect their own ground. Wuppertaler SV have taken only 10 points from 13 home matches and have conceded 25 goals there, while Bocholt have picked up 13 points from 11 away games and have scored 17 on the road. The recent head-to-head also leans Bocholt’s way in the bigger picture, with them avoiding defeat in three of the last four meetings.
Goals do not look out of place either, even if Wuppertal’s goalless draw against Sportfreunde Lotte is a reminder that they can occasionally slow games down. The stronger H2H trend is that both teams have scored in six of the last seven meetings, and five of those seven finished with more than 2.5 goals. Bocholt’s away xG edge, 1.6 to 1.1, also points to them creating the better chances.
My prediction is Away Win at 17/20. Bocholt have the better overall record, a more workable away split, and they arrive with two wins from their last three league matches. Wuppertal’s home form is weak, with just two home wins all season and 25 conceded in 13. The head-to-heads also give Bocholt enough encouragement to side with the visitors again.
