Royale Union Saint-Gilloise host Atalanta at Lotto Park on Wednesday evening, January 28, 2026, in a UEFA Champions League clash where the visitors are clear favorites. David Hubert's side sits atop the Belgian Pro League with 46 points from 22 games, but their European campaign tells a different story—31st in the Champions League standings with just 6 points from seven matches. Raffaele Palladino's Atalanta, 7th in Serie A with 35 points, occupy 13th place in the Champions League table and have already secured a play-off spot.
Union Saint-Gilloise's recent form shows mixed results across competitions. They defeated FCV Dender 2-0 in the Belgian Cup on January 14, then secured a 1-0 league win over Mechelen on January 17. The Champions League brought disappointment on January 21 as Bayern Munich handed them a 2-0 defeat at Lotto Park. Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw with Oud-Heverlee Leuven on Saturday. The hosts will be without Kevin Rodríguez until mid-February, while Kamiel Van De Perre remains sidelined until early March with a hamstring injury.
Atalanta arrive in Brussels riding high after crushing Parma 4-0 on Sunday, with Gianluca Scamacca converting a penalty before Marten de Roon, Giacomo Raspadori, and Nikola Krstović added further goals. That dominant display followed their Champions League setback against Athletic Club on January 21, where they fell 3-2 at home despite Scamacca finding the net. Prior to that, Atalanta drew 1-1 with Pisa on January 16 and recorded consecutive 2-0 victories over Torino on January 10 and Bologna on January 7. Wing-backs Raoul Bellanova and Mitchel Bakker remain unavailable through injury.
This will be the first competitive meeting between these two clubs. Union Saint-Gilloise have lost all their home Champions League matches at Lotto Park this season, conceding 17 goals in seven European games. Atalanta have claimed two away wins in the competition already and need points to push for a top-eight finish that would guarantee automatic qualification to the next round.
I predict an away win at odds of 120/100 (2.20 decimal). My model gives Atalanta a 64.06% probability of victory with a correct score of 1-2. The expected goals projection is Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.10, Atalanta 2.34. Union Saint-Gilloise have conceded in every Champions League home game this season, supporting the visitors' path to three points.
